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CQI Birmingham branch event-Centre of Brexit Studies Research Presentation

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Temple QMS - ISO Consultancy

Elmdon Lane

Marston Green

B37 7DL

United Kingdom

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CQI Birmingham branch invite you to a presentation by a leading academic carrying out research projects at The Centre for Brexit Studies (CBS). The Centre for Brexit Studies is the UK’s first research centre devoted to the study of the impact of Brexit, and provides a platform for those of a “Leave” and “Remain” perspective to discuss and debate Brexit. CBS research projects include climate change, constitutional implications, employment, human rights, national security, trade amongst others.

Professor Alex De Ruyter leads a team at Birmingham City University (BCU) and is the Director of the CBS. He brings a wealth of research experience and academic engagement in the Brexit and the related areas of regional economic development, skills and labour market issues. He has published over 50 academic outputs in leading national and international journals and has been the recipient of research funding, including being an investigator (with David Bailey) in an Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) funded study on the effects on subsequent employment experience of workers from MG Rover after plant closure in 2005.

Much of CBS work is predominantly carried out by Birmingham City University staff and students, but the team provide collaborative opportunities with other universities, interested businesses, professional organisations and civil society.

In this presentation, Professor De Ruyter reports on the findings of three current CBS Research Projects:

1) The CBS “Brexit Roadshow”

2) Sectoral Impact Analysis on Automotive and Aerospace (Trade Scenarios); and

3) Understanding regional disparities: the need for new indicators.

Overleaf, a brief description of these projects is provided.

Agenda

18:30-19:00 networking (light refreshments available)

19:00-19:15 Introduction to aims and activities of CBS by Prof De Ruyter

19:15-20:15 Presentation on Research Projects by Prof. De Ruyter

20:15-20:30 Q & A

20:30 Close.


The CBS Roadshow (19:15-19:35)

In this section, Professor De Ruyter reports on findings from the CBS Roadshow. This project involved focus groups and interviews at “Town Hall” public engagement events in the top ten parliamentary constituency areas estimated to have voted Leave. The team visited Walsall, Stoke, Doncaster, Boston, Grimsby, Hull, Basildon, Canvey Island and Great Yarmouth in order to ask questions to participants around how they voted during the referendum; what were the most important reasons for voting the way they did; how the Government are handling negotiations; and whether they would still vote the same way should another referendum on EU membership be held. Findings suggest that rather than any significant shift of ground on the issue, feelings remain high and if anything, views have become even more entrenched.

Sector Impact Analysis for Automotive and Aerospace (19:35-19:55)

This project (in conjunction with a private sector client) provides a sectoral analysis of the likely impact of Brexit on automotive and aerospace; two sectors pivotal to the performance of the Midlands regional economies. Utilising findings from regional trade data and input-output analysis, the project aims to understand the trade/supply chain, HR and compliance issues arising from the various trade scenarios currently facing the UK as it attempts to build a new trading relationship with the EU. We focus on the most likely scenarios facing the UK at the time of writing; either a customs union with substantial regulatory alignment with the EU, or a looser Canada-style trade agreement, but no customs union. The findings of this project seek to impart lessons for businesses seeking to navigate the likely post-Brexit landscape.

Understanding regional disparities: the need for new indicators (19:55-20:15)

Finally, Professor De Ruyter reports on research currently being undertaken by the Centre to assess the nature of regional disparities. Regional gross value added (GVA) has become an extremely important metric. However, for somewhere like the UK with large commuting flows, GVA per capita produces a seriously biased picture. Exit from the EU provides an opportunity to reassess some of the attendant funding flows to ensure that they are targeted at the places (and people) which need them most. This project addresses two technical issues in the measurement of GVA. First is the measurement of financial services, whilst the second relates to regional prices. GVA in the UK is measured in nominal rather than real terms. As such, this project demonstrates how Purchasing Power Parities as an alternative might be developed for regions of the UK. Hence, some tentative conclusions on development of a more holistic regional policy, alongside commentary of the possible impact of Brexit on regional development and inter-regional disparities, are offered.

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Temple QMS - ISO Consultancy

Elmdon Lane

Marston Green

B37 7DL

United Kingdom

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