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Deal or NO Deal: Prospects for the Iranian Nuclear Agreement

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Government and International Affairs: Al-Qasimi Building (Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies)

Elvet Hill Road

Durham

DH1 3TU

United Kingdom

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Deal or NO Deal: Prospects for the Iranian Nuclear Agreement

The aim of this timely event is to explore the multiple and complex dimensions of the deal concerning Iran’s Nuclear programme. The discussions will be structured along three distinct lines of analysis: Sir Richard Dalton will cover the international dimension of the JCPoA, including a focus on the US; Dr Cornelius Adebahr will offer an overview of the European dimension of the deal, drawing on his recently published book; and Dr Cyrus Mehdizadeh will provide insights into Iran’s socio-economic-political domestic concerns.

PROGRAMME

12.30 – 13.15:

Lunch

13.15 – 13.25:

Welcome and introduction to Iran Nuclear Agreement

Professor Anoush Ehteshami, SGIA, Durham University

13.30 – 13.50:

International challenges: Is the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action still “Joint”?

Sir Richard Dalton, Senior British Ambassador to Iran and Libya

13.50 – 14.10:

Caught in the middle? How Europe is trying to save the deal from falling apart

Dr Cornelius Adebahr, Independent political analyst and non-resident fellow at Carnegie Europe

14.10 – 14.30:

Iranian economy since the JCPoA and its ambitions

Dr Cyrus Mehdi-Zadeh, Director of the British-Iranian Chamber of Commerce

14.30 – 15.30:

Q&A


The Event will be chaired by Dr Eva-Maria Nag, SGIA, Durham University


Sir Richard Dalton (Senior British Ambassador to Iran and Libya)

International challenges: Is the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action still “Joint”?

Abstract: US and European governments have strongly opposing views on the JCPoA. Next steps in US policy are for the US Congress. Meanwhile the UK and its partners will try hard to persuade the Congress not to undermine the JCPoA with new nuclear-related sanctions or to adopt totally unrealistic targets for US and partners’ handling of regional disputes involving Iran and Iran’s self-defense missile programme. Will the turmoil in so much of the Middle East deliver its own blows to the stability of the nuclear agreement? How far will Iran’s strategic patience with the provocation from Washington stretch? On 23 October, Boris Johnson said “...having spoken to some of the most influential figures on Capitol Hill – none of them fans of the Iranian regime – I have absolutely no doubt that with determination and courage the JCPoA can be preserved.” All in all, is optimism justified?



Dr Cornelius Adebahr (Independent political analyst and non-resident fellow at Carnegie Europe)

Caught in the middle? How Europe is trying to save the deal from falling apart

Abstract: The EU and its member states have been crucial in bringing about the nuclear deal of 2015, which capped more than a decade of multilateral negotiations backed up by a stringent international sanctions regime. However, with Iran strengthening its hand in a conflict-ridden region and the United States keen on disowning this diplomatic achievement, the Europeans will have to muster all their resources to prevent the agreement from falling apart. Success is by no means guaranteed.



Dr Cyrus Mehdi-Zadeh (Director of the British-Iranian Chamber of Commerce)

Iranian economy since the JCPoA and its ambitions

Abstract: This talk provides an overview of the historical developments of the Iranian economy before the nuclear deal and in its current situation. It discusses the gradual economic development and expectations following the agreement and, in particular, it zooms into the role of investment and trade since 2015. It concludes reflecting on the state of art of the Iranian economy vis-a-vis the recent international and domestic political developments.

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Date and Time

Location

Government and International Affairs: Al-Qasimi Building (Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies)

Elvet Hill Road

Durham

DH1 3TU

United Kingdom

View Map

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