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Mike Stout (De Montfort University) and Gabriel Egan (De Montfort Universit...

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CL1.32e, De Montfort University, LE1 9BH

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When Week 17, 24 January 2018, 2.30-4.30pm
Where Clephan CL1.32b
Who Mike Stout (De Montfort University) and Gabriel Egan (De Montfort University)
What "Using Statistics to Avoid Your Own Gaffes and Spot Other People's". Suppose you find in one town's archives the baptism and marriage records for what seems like an unusual name -- can you tell how likely it is that they are for the same person? What if two apparently independent documents share the same apparently unusual linguistic expression -- can it be a coincidence? This session is about how statistics can help us decide what is coincidence and what is historically meaningful. By the end of the session you will be able to avoid fallacious reasoning in your own arguments about historical likelihood and spot it in the work of others. Absolutely no prior ability with mathematics is assumed for this session.

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CL1.32e, De Montfort University, LE1 9BH

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