Not all cohorts are born equal: Economic activity and parental selection
Professor Arnaud Chevalier
Department of Economics
Potential parents may consider the economic situation when planning to conceive. Theoretically, an economic downturn has two opposite effects on the demand for children; it reduces household income and the time-costs of having children. The relative size of these effects may depend on family characteristics; families with a greater attachment to the labour market may be more sensitive to the income effect than families whose labour market participation is more marginal. This would lead to differences in parental composition and long-term consequences on the outcomes of children conceived at different points of the business cycle. This lecture will provide empirical evidence on this phenomenon.
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