Actions and Detail Panel
SCELG Seminar Series: The Global Governance of Climate Change: Modelling Pa...
Tue 15 March 2016, 13:00 – 14:00 GMT
Strathclyde Centre for Enviornmental Law and Governance
The seminar is free but places are limited.
Light snacks will be provided.
The Global Governance of Climate Change: Modelling Paris-2015
Robert Thomson, University of Strathclyde, UK
Frans N. Stokman, University of Groningen, the Netherlands
We examine the global governance of climate change by focusing on the Paris-2015 negotiations: the most recent round of conferences held under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The first part of the study describes the main negotiation issues and each country or group of countries’ positions on these issues using the spatial model of politics. The evidence was assembled through qualitative analyses of relevant documentation and a series of semi-structured and structured interviews with expert observers and negotiators. While there is a great deal of nuance to the positions taken, most of the variation can be accounted for by two dimensions: one relating to mitigation; the other to adaptation. The second part applies models of the process through which negotiations may be conducted. The exchange model encapsulates the idea that actors make concessions on some issues in return for concessions on other issues. Other models considered contain different assumptions about the distribution of power among actors. Each model makes predictions of the outcomes of the Paris conference based on information that was available before it began. We compare the accuracy of these predictions, some of which we published prior to the Paris conference, to draw inferences on the occurrence of issue linkage and on the distribution of power in the international system.
Robert Thomson is Professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK, where he is also Head of the School of Government and Public Policy. Prior to joining the University of Strathclyde, Professor Thomson held positions at the Universities of Groningen and Utrecht, the Netherlands, and Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. His research focuses on international negotiations and policymaking, including studies of negotiations on environmental standards and programmes. He is author of Resolving Controversy in the European Union (Cambridge University Press), as well as dozens of peer-reviewed articles and book chapters on EU, international and national politics.