Statistics Seminar presented by Lucy Teece of Biostatistics/Epidemiology, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, on Prognostic Models and Competing Risks.

Prognostic models are used in medical and health research to predict an individual’s future health outcomes, including risk of disease progression and the development of further complications. Communicating these risks enables clinicians to help a patient understand their own risks and to plan and manage a patient’s illness.

The statistical methods used to develop these models are often naïve to the presence of competing events, these are events which may prevent or alter the probability of the outcome of interest from occurring.

In this presentation, Lucy will introduce prognostic model research and the concept of competing risks, and explore the impact of competing risks on prognostic model research.