“The roadmap to net zero: what opportunities for oil and gas? “

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- with Rob West, Founder and Lead Analyst of Thundersaid Energy

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Global energy demand will rise from 70,000TWH per year in 2019 to 120,000TWH in 2050. Yet the world can also be fully decarbonized, for a CO2 abatement cost below $75/ton. The resultant energy system still contains 85Mbpd of oil and 400TCF of gas.

The energy landscape is changing rapidly with far-reaching implications for the global energy industry and actors, including oil companies and oil-exporting countries. These rapid changes introduce multidimensional uncertainty, the most important of which is the speed of the transition. While the transformation of the energy system is rapid in certain regions of the world, such as Europe, the speed of the global energy transition remains highly uncertain.

It is also difficult to define the end game (which technology will win and what the final energy mix will be), as the outcome of transition is likely to vary across regions. In this context, oil companies are facing a strategic dilemma: attempt the risky transition to low-carbon technologies by moving beyond their core business or just focus on maximising their return from their hydrocarbon assets.We argue that, due to the high uncertainty, oil companies need to develop strategies that are likely to be successful under a wide set of possible future market conditions. Furthermore, the designed strategies need to be flexible and evolve quickly in response to anticipated changes in the market.

For oil-exporting countries, there is no trade-off involved in renewable deployment as such investments can liberate oil and gas for export markets, improving the economics of domestic renewables projects. In the long run, however, the main challenge for many oil countries is economic and income diversification as this represents the ultimate safeguard against the energy transition. Whether or not these countries succeed in their goal of achieving a diversified economy and revenue base has implications for investment in the oil sector and oil prices and consequently for the speed of the global energy transition.Hear from Founder and Lead Analyst Rob West


Prior to ThunderSaid, Rob built up the energy practice at Redburn, which is among the world’s leading, independent equity-research firms. He was responsible for the team’s energy strategy and commodity market research, while covering the Super-Majors, such as ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, BP, TOTAL, Eni and Equinor. Some of the team’s best work focused on the impact of technologies. It allowed Redburn to call the incredible rise of the shale oil industry , and the equally incredible fall in oil industry costs.Rob is also a Research Associate at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. Prior to Redburn, Rob was part of Sanford C. Bernstein’s oil and gas practice.


Due to the COVID-19 outbreak this event will be delivered by webinar using ‘Zoom’. If using a workplace computer to connect, please ensure your organisation allows access to the ‘Zoom’ software or alternatively use your private email address to subscribe. Zoom is FREE and you can register here

Once your application is approved you will receive log-in details to join the webinar. We send these on the morning of the presentation to enable you to check the functionality. We strongly recommend you check the ‘Zoom’ connection before the broadcast.


4.50PM – Delegates join the webinar

5PM – Update from SEF Exec Sec.

5.05PM – Introduction by Chair Nicola Gordon.

5.10PM – Rob West presentation.

5.45PM – Q&A

6.25PM – Vote of Thanks.

6.30PM – Webinar finishes

Booking Conditions

Please note that registering for an SEF event does not guarantee you a place until your request is processed and accepted by the SEF.  We will operate a 'wait list' if our events are over-subscribed with priority being afforded to members of the SEF.

During our events we actively encourage reasoned debate amongst the audience and with our invited speaker; however, we request that all participants are mindful and respectful to others points of view. Attendees who cannot abide by these simple courteous rules, or who disrupt proceedings or use defamatory remarks, will be invited to leave the presentation. We reserve the right to refuse entry. 

Scottish Energy Forum Board

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