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Warwick Q-Step Centre Spring Camp 2017
Mon, 20 Mar 2017, 09:30 – Tue, 21 Mar 2017, 16:00 GMT
Warwick Q-Step Centre Spring Camp 2017: Forecasting
Warwick Q-Step Centre will be holding its annual 2-day Quantitative Methods Spring Camp on 20 and 21 March 2017 and the theme of this year's camp will be forecasting.
Staff and students from across the social sciences, humanities and science disciplines will come together to focus on the methodological challenges relating to forecasting social, economic, and political events. Participants will be able to engage in discussion and debate and gain hands-on experience of working with data to generate and assess forecasts.
The two-day event will provide a fantastic opportunity for undergraduate and postgraduate students to gain experience of working with others from a range of disciplines, as well as developing the conceptual and practical tools needed for forecasting real world events. For further information about that annual Spring Camp, please visit the Warwick Q-Step website.
Please see below for confirmed speakers. The exact timings of the programme are to be confirmed but the start and finish times will be 9:30 - 16:00 for Day 1 and 10:00 - 16:00 for Day 2.
On Day 1 experts will give presentations on various forecasting topics including how to forecast elections, the economy, and intra-state conflicts, as well as Bayesian ways of forecasting.
The confirmed speakers are:
Dr Stephen Fisher (Associate Professor in Political Sociology and the Fellow and Tutor in Politics at Trinity College, University of Oxford)
Dr Nils Metternich (Senior Lecturer in the Department of Political Science, University College London)
Professor Bärbel Finkenstädt Rand (Professor in the Department of Statistics, University of Warwick)
Professor James Mitchell (Professor of Economic Modelling and Forecasting, Warwick Business School)
Programme for the day (exact timings to be confirmed):
09.30 – Registration and Coffee
10.00 – Session 1: Forecasting in the Bayesian way (Professor Barbel Finkenstadt) SPEAKER CONFIRMED
11.00 – Session 2: Forecasting the Economy (Professor James Mitchell) SPEAKER CONFIRMED
12.00 – Lunch
13.00 – Session 3: Forecasting Intra-state Conflicts (Dr Nils Metternich) SPEAKER CONFIRMED
14.00 – Session 4: Forecasting Elections (Professor Stephen Fisher) SPEAKER CONFIRMED
15.00 – Coffee and Networking
16:00 – Finish
9.30 - 4.30
On Day 2 students will gain hands-on experience in forecasting by taking part in an interactive workshop on Machine Learning and Forecasting. The workshop focuses on understanding the theory and practice of forecasting. Students will learn how to use statistical software to generate and assess forecasts of social and political events. The workshop will be given by PhD student Elio Amicarelli from the Department of Political Science, University College London.
Please note: places for the workshop are limited to 25, so it may not be possible for all attendees to participate in the session.
The event is free to attend, and refreshments and lunch will be provided.